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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The visit was especially notable in light of the tough measures the United States adopted to promote democracy in Bangladesh ahead of the January general election, and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

US trade exposure to China will remain high

Location:
CHINA/UNITED STATES

In January-November, imports of Chinese goods dropped more than 20% year-on-year. China’s share of total US imports plunged to 13.9% from 16.7% in the same period in 2022, while…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Although it does not have the force of law, the IPEF Supply Chain Agreement, along with the associated IPEF Critical Minerals Dialogue, is expected to strengthen chains of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

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