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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286511

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 24 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

CHINA: Looser policy will bring limited economic gains

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284776

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

While headline inflation in the United States and the euro-area has fallen steadily, core inflation remains stubborn. The ‘last mile’ of the disinflation process will be the most…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280687

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as home improvement are suffering the largest sales declines, according to weekly credit-card spending data. Housing prices also are…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278425

ISSN: 2633-304X

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consumer
employment
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274944

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

UK policy has become the key example of policy failure. Although that mayhem stems largely from domestic vulnerabilities, the underlying problems -- policymakers’ efforts to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The main western central banks -- the Federal Reserve (Fed), the ECB and the Bank of England (BoE) -- have all stated clearly that it is too early to declare victory against…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276075

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 September 2015
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Increased uncertainty in financial markets, following the US Federal Reserve's decision in September to delay tightening monetary policy because of concerns about China's economy…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 May 2018
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Emerging market asset gyrations.

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