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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 May 2024
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Pichai Chunhavajira, an experienced businessman who has held various important positions previously, was named as the new finance minister, taking over the role from the premier…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 April 2024
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The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 March 2024
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The situation, which began in northern regions, quickly spread, affecting the entire basin by September. Since January, large areas of the basin have been in a state of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 January 2024
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The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The region is highly vulnerable to climate variability. The Dry Corridor -- a band of territory that runs from Guatemala to Panama and is home to around one-quarter of the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Such impacts look set to worsen, affecting biodiversity and human society alike. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Atlas suggests, in its worst-case scenario…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 August 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The address laid out the new administration’s policy objectives for the coming year and Marcos’s broad goals for his six-year term. It gave little indication of the president’s…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 August 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The performance far exceeds the EU average of 0.6%, perhaps helped by the limited exposure to Russian gas. Nevertheless, consumer and business confidence is weakening, and the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 June 2019
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Since its introduction in February, the local real-time gross settlement (RTGS) dollar, a de facto new local currency, has lost over 60% of its value relative to the US dollar on…

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