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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 March 2024
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The completion of residential housing units reached a post-Soviet record of 110 million square metres. This strong expansion in construction activity was demand-led, stimulated by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
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However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 February 2024
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Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024
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War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2023
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Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 November 2023
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Prospects for US politics in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

President Joe Biden turns 81 today. In a country where half the population is younger than 39, most voters would rather not see an electoral rematch between Biden and Donald…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 November 2023
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The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2023
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The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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