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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 May 2024
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Local villagers were ignoring the ban on the production, use and trafficking of drugs, announced by Taliban supreme leader Haibatullah Akhundzada in April 2022. The Taliban…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024
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After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 February 2024
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Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 January 2024
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Dodik’s law would transfer responsibility for elections in RS from the Central Electoral Commission to its RS equivalent, severing the RS political system from BiH and enabling…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2023
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This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 December 2023
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US Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke by telephone with President Ilham Aliyev, to raise "points of concern" in "enduring" US relations with Azerbaijan, the State…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
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The programme includes halting official military aid to Ukraine, as incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico promised during the election campaign. Recent elections in Central Europe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 September 2023
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Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

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