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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 March 2024
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Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 13 December 2023
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POLAND: New premier promises stronger role in EU
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024
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War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Sources close to the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) said a photograph purporting to show one in the skies above Tehran had been faked. Iran has supplied unmanned aerial…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Simultaneous presidential and parliamentary elections are due by mid-2023 at the latest. Opinion polls suggest that support for Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party are…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 June 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Turkey to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Turkey to end-2022.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Ankara’s defence sector has strengthened over the past decade, boosting arms exports, although its military is still the main buyer. However, the sector is dependent on Western…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 December 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The 2021 presidential programme forecast domestic content in defence projects reaching 71% and arms exports tripling to USD6.2bn. However, that was before Washington banned export…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 4 July 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

TURKEY: Ukraine’s claim of Russian grain theft probed
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 May 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Uncertainty about whether Moscow will lift its suspension of flights from June 1 is discouraging Russian tourism into mid-summer. Turkey’s growing defence ties with Ukraine, its…

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