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ARGENTINA: Prices and poverty will drive uncertainty
The Brazilian financial system, which is still dominated by five state and private banks, saw slower loan growth and worsening asset quality in 2023 due to high inflation and…
ARGENTINA: Austerity package will see new contraction
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284926
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The move followed a sweeping decree issued on December 20 to reform or eliminate some 300 laws governing economic, labour and social issues, and which has already prompted…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284267
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The new agreement envisages a primary surplus of 2% of GDP, a zero general deficit and reserves accumulation of USD10bn; it includes no new funding. However, the widening gap…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284724
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The Massa-Milei run-off was widely expected but the result of the October 22 first round was less so, with Massa receiving 36.7% of the vote to nearly 30.0% for Milei. Much will…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282875
ISSN: 2633-304X
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However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282141
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283523
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The sharp fall came days after President Alberto Fernandez announced that he would not seek re-election, prompting rumours of an imminent devaluation that the government blames on…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278772
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…