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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the presidential contest must take place in September-October, but parliamentary elections are not due until 2025. President Ranil Wickremesinghe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280020

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Turkey
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
exchange rate
foreign investment
monetary
prices
fiscal
investment
politics
policy
balance of payments
bonds
equities
government
election
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275691

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Turkey
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
bonds
equities
exchange rate
investment
energy
fiscal
monetary
industry
politics
election
government
oil
prices
foreign investment
policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Passage from speculative to investment grade (IG) would mark the end of the sovereign debt crisis besetting the country since 2009. The upgrade would lower government borrowing…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276143

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Greece
EUR
EU
Topical
economy
politics
debt
election
fiscal
foreign investment
government
aid
energy
finance
tourism
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industry
banking
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy is on track to grow by 5.3% year-on-year in 2022, outperforming market expectations for the second year in a row. In a sign of its recovery, Greece left the EU's…

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