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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the presidential contest must take place in September-October, but parliamentary elections are not due until 2025. President Ranil Wickremesinghe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This brings the three-year attempt to negotiate a debt-restructuring deal to a halt at the last hurdle. The parties must now try to salvage the deal before the end-of-year…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 September 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

US sanctions have been a blunt instrument, but the threat of re-escalation comes at a moment of vulnerability for Venezuela. The US intervention could have counterproductive…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Separately, the IMF’s Executive Board on March 20 approved a four-year, roughly USD3bn Extended Fund Facility for the country. The approval came around ten months after Sri Lanka…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

He replaces Miftah Ismail, who played a key role in ensuring that Pakistan got its bailout programme with the IMF back on track after a hold-up. Dar faces a tough challenge to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The restructuring creates more fiscal space for President Guillermo Lasso as he attempts to bolster popular support, fend off political opposition and drive through liberal…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ASEAN’s ‘Five-Point Consensus’ plan to ease the fallout from the 2021 coup shows no signs of making progress, and Cambodia -- the group’s 2022 chair -- has stopped advocating…

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