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Expert briefing

Publication date: 7 May 2024

Asia ‘ex-China’ investment will struggle for traction

Location:: ASIA

There is sizeable demand for financial assets and products in Asia that exclude China. However, investor expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286862

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Asia

China

Hong Kong

India

Indonesia

Japan

Malaysia

Philippines

South Korea

Taiwan

Thailand

United States

Topical

economy

industry

banking

bonds

capital flows

derivatives

equities

foreign investment

government

investment

monetary

policy

regional

growth

oil

prices

property

foreign trade

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Post-poll turmoil may worsen Pakistan’s economic woes

Location:: PAKISTAN

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285381

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Pakistan

China

IMF-World Bank

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

debt

election

finance

fiscal

foreign trade

government

military

monetary

party

prices

protest

reform

remittances

talks

banking

bonds

constitution

foreign investment

gas

internet

investment

media

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 17 November 2023

Prospects for India in 2024

Location:: PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283429

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

India

Australia

China

G20

Israel

Japan

Palestinians

Russia

Ukraine

United States

PROSPECTS 2024

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

election

foreign policy

growth

party

agriculture

bonds

corporate

food

oil

terrorism

war

fiscal

banking

government

monetary

prices

religion

summit

talks

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 September 2023

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

Location:: INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

United States

China

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

equities

growth

monetary

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 20 February 2023

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276156

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Russia

Ukraine

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

gas

monetary

policy

prices

balance of payments

bonds

election

exchange rate

fiscal

government

invasion

judicial

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 4 January 2023

US real interest rates are likely to return to trend

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

Real interest rates -- which matter more for economic activity -- remain negative. Real rates have been declining for centuries. While they are currently negative, this could…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275029

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

United States

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

monetary

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 4 October 2022

Pakistan may struggle to retain IMF’s support

Location:: PAKISTAN

He replaces Miftah Ismail, who played a key role in ensuring that Pakistan got its bailout programme with the IMF back on track after a hold-up. Dar faces a tough challenge to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273131

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Pakistan

IMF-World Bank

China

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

United Nations

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

agriculture

balance of payments

banking

debt

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

food

foreign trade

government

growth

monetary

natural disasters

policy

prices

talks

bonds

infrastructure

legislation

opposition

party

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 29 December 2022

Clash between markets and Fed increases risks in 2023

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274944

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

United States

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

equities

finance

monetary

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 19 October 2022

UK policy storm may spread fears of financial risk

Location:: UK/INT

UK policy has become the key example of policy failure. Although that mayhem stems largely from domestic vulnerabilities, the underlying problems -- policymakers’ efforts to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273459

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

EUR

United States

United Kingdom

Italy

UK/INT

Topical

economy

bonds

equities

fiscal

growth

politics

foreign policy

government

investment

regulation

industry

finance

monetary

pensions

prices

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Executive summary

Publication date: 30 August 2022

Committed US Fed speeds up its balance sheet shrinkage

Location:: UNITED STATES

UNITED STATES: Fed speeds up balance sheet shrinkage

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES272402

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United States

Topical

economy

bonds

monetary

prices

fiscal

growth

policy

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286862

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