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Expert briefing

Publication date: 7 May 2024

Asia ‘ex-China’ investment will struggle for traction

Location:: ASIA

There is sizeable demand for financial assets and products in Asia that exclude China. However, investor expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286862

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic

Asia

China

Hong Kong

India

Indonesia

Japan

Malaysia

Philippines

South Korea

Taiwan

Thailand

United States

Topical

economy

industry

banking

bonds

capital flows

derivatives

equities

foreign investment

government

investment

monetary

policy

regional

growth

oil

prices

property

foreign trade

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 18 April 2024

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286511

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic

United States

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

equities

monetary

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

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employment

energy

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investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

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private sector

productivity

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 7 November 2023

Investment-grade rating will benefit Greece’s economy

Location:: GREECE

This is the first investment-grade (IG) rating given to Athens by one of the ‘big three’ rating agencies since 2010. The upgrade reflects Greece’s strong post-pandemic economic…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283186

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Greece

EUR

Germany

Italy

Middle East

Topical

economy

capital flows

debt

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

banking

bonds

equities

integration

monetary

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 12 July 2023

Sri Lanka move on domestic debt will be of limited use

Location:: SRI LANKA

Securing debt restructuring agreements is a key condition of the four-year, USD3bn Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme which the IMF’s Executive Board approved in March…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280445

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic

Sri Lanka

IMF-World Bank

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

banking

bonds

debt

finance

fiscal

government

monetary

pensions

talks

capital flows

energy

food

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prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 September 2023

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

Location:: INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113

ISSN: 2633-304X

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International

United States

China

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

equities

growth

monetary

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 4 January 2023

US real interest rates are likely to return to trend

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

Real interest rates -- which matter more for economic activity -- remain negative. Real rates have been declining for centuries. While they are currently negative, this could…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275029

ISSN: 2633-304X

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International

United States

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economy

bonds

capital flows

monetary

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 26 October 2022

Hungary will struggle to avert speculative attack

Location:: HUNGARY

The attempt to bolster the forint with a hefty rate rise shows a severe loss of confidence in Hungary’s economy. The highest inflation rate since 1996, the energy shock from the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273612

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Hungary

EUR

Topical

economy

exchange rate

foreign investment

monetary

policy

prices

balance of payments

bonds

capital flows

debt

fiscal

foreign trade

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 29 December 2022

Clash between markets and Fed increases risks in 2023

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274944

ISSN: 2633-304X

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International

United States

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

equities

finance

monetary

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 13 February 2023

Turkey’s currency is likely to depreciate in 2023

Location:: TURKEY

The stability of the lira since June 2022 is primarily a result of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s government shoring up the currency despite cutting interest rates. The…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275967

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Gulf states

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Topical

economy

balance of payments

capital flows

exchange rate

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Expert briefing (148)

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