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Lower near-term EM risks raise long-run opportunities

Location:

INT

The near-term risk of defaults in emerging market (EM) sovereign debt markets is easing

Bank regulations cannot prevent a crisis of confidence

Location:

INT

Recent events show that higher rates and crashing confidence can push well-capitalised banks to crisis quickly

Portugal's growth will accelerate mildly in 2016

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PORTUGAL

Growth slowed in the first quarter, as the drag from net exports more than offset accelerating private consumption

Ghost of crises past raises Argentine vulnerability

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ARGENTINA

Both domestic and international investors are easily shaken by economic tremors in crisis-prone Argentina

Pride and politics will push Turkey to recession

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TURKEY

A sudden deterioration in US-Turkish relations has plunged Turkey into a debt and liquidity crisis

Markets await the closest French election in years

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FRANCE

Four candidates are polling 18% or more ahead of the April 23 election; two of them are anti-EU, worrying investors

Public banks can finance SDGs more, but 2030 is a rush

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INTERNATIONAL

The UNCTAD report urging public banks to do the “heavy lifting” to meet UN Sustainable Development Goals is ambitious

US monetary tightening will hit emerging markets

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INTERNATIONAL

As the Fed gets ready to raise rates, higher borrowing costs and a stronger dollar will weigh on global debt management

Italy’s fragility is Europe’s biggest risk into 2018

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ITALY

Elections must be held by May 2018, against a backdrop of subdued growth prospects, indebted banks and rising refugees

Lone US Fed dove raises concerns about orderly QE exit

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

At the Federal Reserve meeting, Neel Kashkari voted no change and raised concern about the quantitative easing exit