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UNITED STATES: Gambling growth will continue
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has raised interest rates from zero in March 2022 to 5.25-5.5% and has reduced its bond holdings from nearly USD9tn to USD7.8tn. While the Inflation…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283712
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED STATES: Momentum ends near-term GDP drop fear
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES280873
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED STATES: Economic activity will slow in 2023
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES274258
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Since labour market tightness is now the key source of inflationary pressures, slower economic activity will increase unemployment. Research by Ben Bernanke and Olivier Blanchard…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279716
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Core personal consumption expenditure inflation is 4.7% year-on-year, above the 2.0% target. The economy is holding up, with the OECD now forecasting GDP growth of 1.5%, up from…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276878
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in late August that it is important to change the way people consider inflation, noting that when inflation is high, people and firms incorporate it…
UNITED STATES: Growth will slow sharply in first half
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES275617
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED STATES: GDP growth will slow going into 2023
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES273661
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The period of expansionary fiscal policy has ended and sharply higher interest rates will take an increasing toll on economic activity.