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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 April 2024
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Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 March 2024
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Putin won 87% of the vote on 74% turnout, surpassing the 68% seen in 2018. Communist candidate Nikolai Kharitonov came second with just under 4%. Scattered opposition protests and…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 March 2024
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RUSSIA: Putin will seek record victory in election
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 February 2024
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This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 November 2023
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Tensions between opposing political forces rose last month when the government triggered impeachment proceedings against the president. Although this failed, strains between the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 July 2023
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Constitutional change could keep him in power until 2037, providing an opportunity to transform Uzbekistan’s socio-economic conditions. However, significant domestic and foreign…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 June 2023
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Putin said more would follow by the end of summer or year-end, as a warning to the West against inflicting “strategic defeat” on Russia through its support for Ukraine. Accepting…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 14 September 2023
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BELARUS: Lukashenka will seek closer ties with Moscow
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 October 2023
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Zelensky’s statement followed weeks of growing speculation that a wartime election might be held. However, it is still unclear if elections -- either parliamentary or…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

On the back of his mercenaries’ success in Ukraine, he has used social media to berate the defence ministry, the general staff and Putin himself, albeit indirectly, as a doddery…

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