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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Cost-control is no longer the overriding consideration, given regulatory and investor demands to address environmental, social and governance (ESG) concerns, and consumer demands…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for South Africa in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Yet market sentiment remains sceptical of Pretoria’s ability to deliver on the package, implement steep and politically contentious expenditure cuts and boost growth. Meanwhile, a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Living standards are set to decrease further, with the number of Africans in poverty projected to rise for the first time in two decades. Current debt relief initiatives look…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Doubts over the extent of recovery from a double-digit contraction this year are complicating efforts to renegotiate debt with the IMF and present a plausible economic policy…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 December 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Europe and the United States may slip back into recession in the northern hemisphere winter. If vaccination succeeds, the advanced economies will recover robustly from mid-2021…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Mexico in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Crime and insecurity continue to worsen, while protests over myriad issues are becoming more common. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will probably have to forge a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for eastern EU in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Governments have been able to address public demands for economic growth, physical and social security, and to generate ideological support from social-conservative…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

On the international front, India remains embroiled in a border stand-off with strategic rival China. The economy, meanwhile, may be slowly pulling out of its pandemic-related…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Vladimir Putin has dropped ambitions to lift Russia into the top five global economies and postponed by six years to 2030 his plan to halve the poverty rate. The…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

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