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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287151

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
construction
debt
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
pensions
prices
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

These difficulties have arisen despite the sharp rise in oil output to nearly 143 million barrels last year, from which the government received some USD1.6bn in revenues. Oil…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286685

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Guyana
LA/C
Trinidad and Tobago
Topical
economy
industry
banking
corporate
exchange rate
finance
fiscal
foreign trade
monetary
oil
policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287016

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
banking
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
opposition
pensions
policy
private sector
public sector
reform
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Price hikes for petrol, electricity, water and gas are among several adjustment measures that will drive up living costs, compounding already high inflation. Meanwhile…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Expectations for 2024 suggest lower inflation than last year, but risks persist. The OECD forecasts moderate GDP growth, highlighting inflation and interest rate concerns. Minimum…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Mexico to end-2023

Location:
PROSPECTS H2 2023

Elections are not scheduled until June 2024, but the remainder of this year will be dominated by preparation, posturing and manoeuvring. Economic growth is gaining momentum, but…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The expansion was largely driven by a booming agricultural sector, whose output rose by 21.6%. The services sector, which accounts for around two-thirds of added value in the…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279524

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Brazil
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
agriculture
consumer
fiscal
growth
investment
manufacturing
monetary
policy
prices
welfare
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Various interest groups, including the private sector, political actors and civil society organisations, are likely to put pressure on the government to reduce its revenue targets…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The country’s poverty rate stood at 52.4% in 2020 according to the World Bank, a 5-percentage-point increase on the level prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. The World Bank…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274741

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Guatemala
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
fiscal
foreign trade
government
growth
monetary
policy
poverty
prices

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