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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 March 2024
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The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 February 2023
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Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Visegrad Four (V4) -- Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia -- have been widely regarded as an economic success in post-transition European integration, global value-chain…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s war in neighbouring Ukraine has prompted EU member-states, and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) in particular, to rethink their own…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 11 December 2019
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

EU: East-West divide will not be bridged soon
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 August 2018
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Germany’s trade surplus.

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 July 2017
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Law and Justice (PiS) government has already enacted a bill changing the appointment system for the National Council of the Judiciary and another bill makes the justice…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 December 2016
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Markets have taken badly the Fed's more hawkish policy guidance for 2017, not expecting such a shift in monetary policy so soon. The shift in US monetary policy comes just as the…

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