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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 September 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Even in Poland, a bright spot for the region, manufacturing activity remains in contraction territory, while private consumption and investment continue to expand modestly…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The other Visegrad Four (V4) countries appear more reluctant to cut their budget deficits, despite increased scrutiny from the European Commission.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 June 2024
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Central banks in Central-Eastern Europe (CEE) have already delivered hefty rate cuts but the ECB move might not herald further loosening. Economic recovery is tepid but inflation…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Speaking on the occasion, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that, over the past 20 years, the promise of stability and prosperity has been fulfilled…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 March 2024
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The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 September 2023
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The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 November 2023
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The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 February 2023
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Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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