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Expert briefing

Publication date: 20 March 2024

Reform UK could impact next election outcome

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285970

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

politics

election

government

opposition

party

fiscal

health

immigration

policy

economy

social

energy

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 March 2024

East Europeans will gain influence on Western security

Location:: EUROPE

She implied that the role should go to someone from Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Von der Leyen’s message emphasises how far the balance in decision-making on European security…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285866

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

NATO

EUR

France

Germany

Poland

United Kingdom

Baltic states

Hungary

Moldova

Romania

Russia

Slovakia

Sweden

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

arms

defence

foreign policy

integration

security

fiscal

invasion

manufacturing

military

summit

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Executive summary

Publication date: 3 January 2024

UK strikes will jeopardise Sunak’s key pledge

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

UNITED KINGDOM: Strikes will jeopardise Sunak's pledge

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284332

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

politics

social

government

health

strike

economy

election

fiscal

party

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Executive summary

Publication date: 6 October 2023

Romania will claim larger NATO role

Location:: ROMANIA/NATO

ROMANIA/NATO: Bucharest to claim larger role

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282480

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Romania

NATO

EUR

Bulgaria

France

United Kingdom

United States

ROMANIA/NATO

Topical

international relations

defence

integration

security

legislation

military

war

economy

industry

politics

arms

fiscal

invasion

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 19 October 2023

UK economy faces a shallow yet prolonged downturn

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282782

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

economy

growth

monetary

prices

banking

consumer

election

employment

energy

fiscal

food

government

manufacturing

property

services

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 4 December 2023

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

Location:: EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283766

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Europe

EUR

Balkans

Ukraine

Bosnia-Hercegovina

Georgia

Germany

Kosovo

Moldova

North Macedonia

Russia

Serbia

Turkey

United Kingdom

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

integration

reform

talks

treaty

war

election

fiscal

foreign policy

government

security

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 3 August 2023

Polls and by-elections will shape UK policy agenda

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

The election -- and how to salvage Conservative Party seats and maintain his own reputation -- will dominate policy considerations inside Sunak’s government for the rest of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280994

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

economy

politics

social

climate

election

government

immigration

party

policy

automobile

fiscal

judicial

population

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Executive summary

Publication date: 4 October 2023

Delay to EU-UK automobile tariffs is likely

Location:: EU/UK

EU/UK: Delay to EV tariffs is likely

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282415

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

France

Germany

China

EU/UK

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

automobile

foreign policy

foreign trade

politics

fiscal

talks

corporate

electronics

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Executive summary

Publication date: 20 June 2023

Mortgage rates could tip already-weak UK to recession

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

UNITED KINGDOM: Mortgage rates could trigger recession

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES279942

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

economy

politics

social

consumer

government

growth

monetary

banking

fiscal

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 30 November 2022

UK fiscal position leaves little space for growth

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

The statement coincides with forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and the Bank of England (BoE) which envisage that economic growth will not return to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274373

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

economy

politics

fiscal

growth

monetary

policy

election

party

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285970

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274373

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