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Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Dutch parties will find it hard to reject Wilders

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NETHERLANDS

Wilders has attempted to moderate his positions to attract potential coalition partners. He will need the support of the centre-right Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and New…

Bangladesh faces stormy lead-up to elections

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BANGLADESH

The next general election is expected in January. The health of BNP leader Khaleda Zia, under house arrest, is reportedly deteriorating seriously. Separately, the United States…

Election plans carry risks for Sri Lanka’s leader

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SRI LANKA

According to the constitution, the next presidential election must take place in September-October 2024, but parliamentary polls are not due until 2025. Wickremesinghe is heavily…

Prospects for Colombia in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

His Historic Pact suffered a major setback in October’s local elections, with opposition figures set to govern some of Colombia’s largest cities (including Bogota) from January 1…

Bulgaria's parliament will finally pass 2023 budget

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BULGARIA

BULGARIA: Parliament will pass 2023 budget

Prospects for Colombia to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

With political opposition and public dissatisfaction showing no sign of abating, the government's reform agenda is unlikely to pass Congress. The administration’s ‘Total Peace’…

Rising pressures will hamper Nepal government

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NEPAL

The impasse ended with an agreement on forming a probe commission. Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal (‘Prachanda’) is trying to manage the fallout from other controversies as…

Latvia’s new three-party coalition will probably last

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LATVIA

The October 1 parliamentary election gave Krisjanis Karins, Latvia’s first prime minister to serve a full four-year term, a clear mandate to form a government. His New Unity (JV…

Pakistan may struggle to retain IMF’s support

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PAKISTAN

He replaces Miftah Ismail, who played a key role in ensuring that Pakistan got its bailout programme with the IMF back on track after a hold-up. Dar faces a tough challenge to…