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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Vietnam will be stable despite ruling party tensions

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VIETNAM

As per custom, delegates elected a new Central Committee, which in turn elected a new Politburo. Nguyen Phu Trong remains general secretary, the Politburo’s first-ranked member…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

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MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Vietnam's new leaders will prioritise economy

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VIETNAM

CPV members will elect a 200-person Central Committee, which in turn will elect a Politburo, the party's highest-ranking body. It is widely expected that Nguyen Phu Trong will…

US Congress will seek greater foreign policy control

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US/INT

The resolution was a Democratic attempt at damage control after comments by a newly elected caucus member that were perceived as anti-Semitic: the party fears being tagged as…

ASEAN-UK post-Brexit ties are likely to grow

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ASEAN/UK

This follows the June 23 'Brexit' referendum, in which 52% of those voting called for the government to organise the United Kingdom's exit from the EU. The vote and subsequent…

Thai-US diplomatic and economic links will repair

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THAILAND/US

This is the first visit to Washington by a Thai prime minister since 2005. Thai-US relations have been much cooler since the mid-2014 military coup that Prayuth, as an army…

Vietnam will quicken pace of vaccine roll-out

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VIETNAM

Meanwhile, its programme to vaccinate the population against the coronavirus is proceeding slowly: fewer than 160,000 of its roughly 98 million people are fully inoculated. The…

ASEAN summits will test bloc unity afresh

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ASEAN

The ASEAN Summits will attempt to maintain momentum for greater integration, particularly on the new 2025 ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) blueprint. The EAS will focus on regional…

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

All are aiming to revive economies badly hit by the pandemic’s fallout. The ten ASEAN states and five of the bloc’s dialogue partners recently signed a Regional Comprehensive…