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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Indonesia will move slowly on Australia defence ties

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INDONESIA

This was in response to the latest developments regarding AUKUS, a pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States aimed at providing Canberra with…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

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MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Vietnam's new leaders will prioritise economy

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VIETNAM

CPV members will elect a 200-person Central Committee, which in turn will elect a Politburo, the party's highest-ranking body. It is widely expected that Nguyen Phu Trong will…

Prospects for India in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for India in the fourth quarter.

ASEAN-UK post-Brexit ties are likely to grow

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ASEAN/UK

This follows the June 23 'Brexit' referendum, in which 52% of those voting called for the government to organise the United Kingdom's exit from the EU. The vote and subsequent…

Thai-US diplomatic and economic links will repair

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THAILAND/US

This is the first visit to Washington by a Thai prime minister since 2005. Thai-US relations have been much cooler since the mid-2014 military coup that Prayuth, as an army…

Washington will be flexible on its Myanmar sanctions

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MYANMAR/US

The Treasury Department soon after activated one provision of the EO by designating ten individuals in the Myanmar military and three military-linked companies for sanctions…

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2018.

Myanmar will ignore West and push on towards new polls

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MYANMAR

The army detained Suu Kyi and other National League for Democracy (NLD) officials on February 1, claiming fraud in the November 8 general election in which the NLD increased its…