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Despite criticism from Western allies, Macron’s position has remained firm. This comes against the backdrop of tensions with Germany, upcoming European Parliament elections and…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286154
ISSN: 2633-304X
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As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285970
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The key question is whether the party will win enough seats to govern by itself. Labour's prospects are boosted by the unpopularity of the ruling Conservatives and a decline in…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285049
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED KINGDOM: Strikes will jeopardise Sunak's pledge
The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282782
ISSN: 2633-304X
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It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283766
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED KINGDOM: Results will mount pressure on premier
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282821
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The election -- and how to salvage Conservative Party seats and maintain his own reputation -- will dominate policy considerations inside Sunak’s government for the rest of…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280994
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The scandal has seen the party’s support drop by around 5 percentage points, opening the door for the Labour Party to gain more seats in Scotland ahead of the next UK general…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282047
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The statement coincides with forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and the Bank of England (BoE) which envisage that economic growth will not return to…