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Hamas conflict will heighten vigilance in Seoul

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NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

These include border surveillance, human intelligence and Pyongyang-Hamas links. Joint live-fire exercises with US forces on October 25-27 were billed as targeting “large-scale…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

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EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

Tensions between Afghan Taliban factions will rise

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AFGHANISTAN

Talib had spent several months putting the guard together. His appointment formalises the establishment of the new force, which will be under Haibatullah’s direct orders.

Prospects for improved Algerian-Moroccan ties are low

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ALGERIA/MOROCCO

The Israel-Hamas conflict has added to tensions between Algiers and Rabat over Western Sahara and their military build-ups, following Algiers' decision to break diplomatic…

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Separately, regional leaders were somewhat reassured by the modest rapprochement between China and the United States -- influential powers in South-east Asia -- on the margins of…

Morocco faces a low risk of major terrorist attacks

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MOROCCO

Security campaigns suggest concerns about the possibility of domestic terrorism threats and the seeming desire of Moroccan hardliners to fight in the Sahel. Yet arrests also…

India will find its diplomatic outreach constrained

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INDIA

In his opening remarks, Prime Minister Narendra Modi made certain comments about cross-border terrorism and territorial integrity that were widely perceived as barbs directed at…

Indonesia will move slowly on Australia defence ties

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INDONESIA

This was in response to the latest developments regarding AUKUS, a pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States aimed at providing Canberra with…

Defence will be the bedrock of Finnish foreign policy

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FINLAND

While this has mostly clearly been reflected by Helsinki’s decision to apply for NATO membership, there are many other changes in its relations with Russia. Finland has also…