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Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Partnerships between AI firms and militaries will grow

Location:

INT

However, recent trends and developments in the AI industry also point towards these same tools’ potential to serve valuable defence purposes, including threat detection, enhanced…

Russia’s ties with Iran will grow stronger

Location:

RUSSIA

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

Brazil foreign policy successes will prove elusive

Location:

BRAZIL

The president travelled to 24 countries and promoted Brazil as a leader in the developing world, particularly on the climate change issue. However, his attempts to restore Latin…

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

State-linked cyber threat to infrastructure is rising

Location:

UK

UK: State cyber threat to infrastructure is rising

Zelensky will seek more weapons from allies

Location:

UKRAINE

UKRAINE: Zelensky will seek more weapons from allies

Emirati foreign policy will draw strong criticism

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The conflict has created tensions between the UAE’s leaders and Arab public opinion. Over the longer term, the country’s assertive foreign policy has also drawn criticism from its…