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UNITED STATES: GDP will slow but CPI risks remain high
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286687
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284606
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED STATES: Solid economy set for a modest slowdown
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284810
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED STATES: Spending surge makes GDP path uncertain
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282974
ISSN: 2633-304X
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President Joe Biden turns 81 today. In a country where half the population is younger than 39, most voters would rather not see an electoral rematch between Biden and Donald…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283463
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Adams wants to tell potential migrants in the region that New York is “at capacity”. Last week’s heavy flooding underscored the frailties of the city’s 19th-century…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282439
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The Federal Reserve (Fed) has raised interest rates from zero in March 2022 to 5.25-5.5% and has reduced its bond holdings from nearly USD9tn to USD7.8tn. While the Inflation…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283712
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED STATES: Momentum ends near-term GDP drop fear
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES280873
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Since labour market tightness is now the key source of inflationary pressures, slower economic activity will increase unemployment. Research by Ben Bernanke and Olivier Blanchard…