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Washington will sustain military focus on Africa

Location:

AFRICA

Despite signalling a pending shift, the Pentagon’s plans in Africa reflect continuity more than change

Marginalisation will sustain smuggling in Libyan south

Location:

LIBYA

Smuggling fuel and people is the only economic option for many in the southern deserts

Reprisals fuel central Mali violence

Location:

MALI

Violence in central Mali has taken the form of reprisal attacks primarily between ethnic Fulani and Dogon communities

Ukraine war will plunge many Sahelians into crisis

Location:

SAHEL

Sahelian countries are reeling from a combination of insecurity, erratic weather and the impacts of the Ukraine war

Rising Sahel violence will become entrenched

Location:

SAHEL

Insecurity is increasing and changing shape across Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso

Algerian terror threat is waning despite regional woes

Location:

ALGERIA

Figures issued by the military show a steady decline in terrorists killed or arrested over several years

Migration through the Mediterranean will rise

Location:

EUROPE/NORTH AFRICA

Rising food prices, political instability and poor economic prospects will drive migration upwards despite obstacles

Sahel-Sahara governance is key to migratory flows

Location:

MENA

Corruption, ineffective institutions and economic neglect feed off and facilitate migration in a vicious circle