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Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

Inflation in Eastern Europe will slow monetary easing

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

Poland, Czechia and Hungary may join euro, but not yet

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

Polish banks to stay stable despite Swiss-franc ruling

Location:

POLAND

Banks had hoped to share with borrowers the at-least USD5bn cost of making provision for Swiss franc mortgages. These mortgages were common prior to 2008, due to low interest…

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

Eastern EU may target those vulnerable to inflation

Location:

EU

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

Rates may stay high in Eastern Europe for many months

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Rising tensions over monetary policy in Central-Eastern Europe have burst into the open in Poland. The National Bank of Poland (NBP)’s controversial decision to halt a year-long…

War in Ukraine will deepen poverty in Central Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

Taming Polish prices may trump economic stimulus

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The surge was driven by Russia’s announcement that it was halting indefinitely supplies through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline. The new has deepened fears of a severe economic…

Central Europe's lower yields may dampen bond outflows

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

QE’s influence on Central Europe’s bond markets.