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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Indonesia president-elect faces thorny issues

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INDONESIA

It confirmed Defence Minister Prabowo Subianto as the winner of the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president. The elections for the People’s Representative Council (DPR)…

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

Post-poll turmoil may worsen Pakistan’s economic woes

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PAKISTAN

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

India’s role in regional maritime security will grow

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INDIA

Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…

Cambodia’s Hun Manet will prioritise economy

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CAMBODIA

The Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) -- led by former premier Hun Sen, Hun Manet’s father -- won 120 out of 125 seats in the National Assembly, the lower house, in last July’s…

Japan will raise defence spending and cut deficits

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JAPAN

The budget is likely to be enacted by the end of the current fiscal year in March 2024. Rapidly increasing military spending reflects drastic changes in Tokyo’s defence policy. On…

Prospects for China's economy in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The Chinese leadership is meeting this month to discuss economic reforms. High-level dialogue with the United States has resumed, allowing the two sides to work on surface-level…

Rift within Philippine administration will deepen

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PHILIPPINES

Duterte has come under criticism in Congress over her use of confidential funds (CFs). Despite the president’s remarks, he and his deputy appear to be at odds on a range of issues.

India eyes more foreign investment in space industry

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INDIA

In late August, they landed near the lunar south pole. India thereby became the fourth country to achieve a soft landing on the moon, and the first to do so in the lunar south…