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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

Location:

ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

Cambodia’s Hun Manet will prioritise economy

Location:

CAMBODIA

The Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) -- led by former premier Hun Sen, Hun Manet’s father -- won 120 out of 125 seats in the National Assembly, the lower house, in last July’s…

ASEAN will pursue incremental engagement in Myanmar

Location:

MYANMAR

Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

Beijing-ASEAN South China Sea tensions will grow

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CHINA/ASEAN

While there is always potential for unplanned escalation, recent incidents in the area are unlikely to change the basic dynamics there: China’s increasing assertion of ‘on-water’…

Thailand will pursue a more proactive foreign policy

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THAILAND

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

Brunei will step up efforts to diversify economy

Location:

BRUNEI

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

Gulf states' ties with Asian countries will expand

Location:

GULF STATES

GULF STATES: Ties with Asian countries will expand

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

Separately, regional leaders were somewhat reassured by the modest rapprochement between China and the United States -- influential powers in South-east Asia -- on the margins of…

Philippine moves will raise tensions with China

Location:

PHILIPPINES

PHILIPPINES: Moves will raise tensions with China