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Ecuador’s reliance on China and the IMF will increase

Location:

ECUADOR

The restructuring creates more fiscal space for President Guillermo Lasso as he attempts to bolster popular support, fend off political opposition and drive through liberal…

Morena triumph changes the face of Mexican politics

Location:

MEXICO

His National Regeneration Movement (Morena) appears to have won the largest share of seats in the federal Congress, and along with its allies has come to dominate both the Chamber…

South African economy faces severe recession in 2020

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The announcement will put further pressure on South Africa’s already stressed financial markets. The rand and bond prices fell sharply yesterday, raising questions about whether…

West African regional bloc faces harmonisation tests

Location:

WEST AFRICA

ECOWAS tests.

Prospects for Brazil in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

After the severe blow that the COVID-19 pandemic represented for an economy still struggling to regain ground lost in the mid-2010s recession, the recovery will likely be only…

Government should pass referendum test in Uruguay

Location:

URUGUAY

President Luis Lacalle Pou’s government has strong public support thanks to a tepid economic recovery and improvements in security, and despite a new wave of COVID-19 cases…

Italy's Renzi will face critical tests before year-end

Location:

ITALY

This is a crucial step for the government before year-end, together with long-term banking issues and slowing economic recovery. The European Commission has allowed Italy…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

Chile's economic prospects will not recover rapidly

Location:

CHILE

The forecasts reflect the impact of currently low investment on the economy's future growth capacity. Ahead of the government's presentation of its 2017 budget to Congress at…

The path of US inequality rests on political progress

Location:

UNITED STATES

Burgeoning international trade and skill-biased technological change has raised the fortunes of university graduates while lowering the prospects of those with less education…