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Acceptance of Indian-run Kashmir’s new status may grow

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INDIA

Last month, a handful of locally active parties formed a new grouping -- the People’s Alliance for Gupkar Declaration (PAGD) -- to seek peaceful restoration of that status…

Burundi regime survival eclipses international status

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BURUNDI

The decision was the latest move by the government to spurn international involvement in its political crisis. Relations between Burundi and the ICC have been deteriorating since…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

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GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Burundi war crimes case will find little purchase

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BURUNDI

The ICC's move came two days before Burundi became the first ever nation to withdraw from the ICC. Burundi’s decision to withdraw is the latest example of its largely successful…

Spain’s influence in the EU will grow, but with limits

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EU/SPAIN

Spanish foreign policy post-Brexit.

NATO accession plans would increase Baltic tensions

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FINLAND/SWEDEN

With public opinion shifting in favour, both countries are now seriously considering applying for formal membership of the alliance. Their decisions will have important…

Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

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IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

Cameroon polls may extend anglophone crisis

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CAMEROON

This comes amid mounting domestic and international frustration over President Paul Biya’s approach to ending the long-standing anglophone crisis. A controversial bill to give…

Kremlin will speed up assimilating non-Russian Tatars

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RUSSIA

Tatarstan, a leading proponent of autonomy, is being targeted in a drive for centralisation and cultural/linguistic homogenisation aimed at consolidating a Russian-speaking state…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…