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Euro-area and US activity and policy will diverge

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

INTERNATIONAL: Euro-area and US activity will diverge

Clash between markets and Fed increases risks in 2023

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INTERNATIONAL

Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

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INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

Use of low-cost space launchers could expand globally

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INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for low-cost satellite launchers.

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

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INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

US Fed still in tightening mode to calm core inflation

Location:

UNITED STATES

UNITED STATES: Fed in tightening mode to calm core PCE

Patent protectionism could impede innovation globally

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INT

Amid US-China tensions, China has ruled that most iPhones breach patents and must be banned

Immigration is key to US job market and economic plans

Location:

UNITED STATES

Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…

US corporate debt distress will rise

Location:

UNITED STATES

US corporate debt default and bankruptcy stress is at its most intense for more than a decade in the face of higher interest rates, elevated inflation and a slowing economy. There…

Renewed rate rises raise risk of more financial shocks

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INTERNATIONAL

While headline inflation in the United States and the euro-area has fallen steadily, core inflation remains stubborn. The ‘last mile’ of the disinflation process will be the most…