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Greek GDP will plunge despite latest stimulus package

Location:

GREECE

The speech set out the government’s economic policy guidelines for the remainder of 2020 and 2021, largely extending the package of fiscal measures in place since April 2020…

New government will strengthen EU values in Lithuania

Location:

LITHUANIA

The Homeland Union-Christian Democrat (TS-LDK)-led government sworn in on December 11 will make no changes to Lithuania’s US- and EU-aligned and anti-Moscow foreign policy. The…

Virus second wave will derail Greek budget forecasts

Location:

GREECE

The official baseline is for an 8.2% GDP contraction in 2020, and a 7.5% rebound in 2021. It took into account moderate restrictions on movement in winter 2020/21, but the…

Security struggles will exacerbate violence in Mexico

Location:

MEXICO

Although this scenario had already been contemplated in the official decree that established the GN in 2019, the new terms for military deployments are notably different.

Latin America's 'shadow governance' zones are unstable

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Turf wars and the evolution of armed groups threaten to trigger violent shifts in established illicitly-governed areas

South African lockdown easing should reduce hardship

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The re-opening comes despite an infection rate that is expected to peak only later this year.

Virus will have wide effects on US industry

Location:

UNITED STATES

Trump on March 16 ordered social distancing and many businesses’ closure for 15 days, to slow COVID-19’s spread and avoid overwhelming hospitals. Transport, tourism, leisure…

Greek GDP growth in 2022 will rely on EU recovery aid

Location:

GREECE

The economic rebound from a 9% contraction in 2020 is mainly being driven by strong domestic demand supported by accommodative fiscal policies and higher-than-expected tourism…

Second COVID wave could stall Macron’s relaunch

Location:

FRANCE

However, the second lockdown in October and November, coupled with persistent uncertainty about the pandemic’s trajectory, threatens to undermine the effectiveness of Relaunching…

Panama faces major fiscal and external challenges

Location:

PANAMA

Partial or complete lockdowns are taking a heavy toll on activity, with a pronounced impact on construction (down 70.5%), manufacturing (down 29.5%), hotels and restaurants (down…