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Brazil health minister's ouster may boost instability

Location:

BRAZIL

Mandetta had spent the last weeks involved in an increasingly acrimonious confrontation with Bolsonaro over his approach to the COVID-19 crisis. While Mandetta has largely sought…

Slovak parties may draw lessons from election upset

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SLOVAKIA

Liberal and centre-right parties supported the civic activist Caputova, who gained 58.4% of the vote. European Commissioner Sefcovic, who had been nominated by Direction-Social…

Insecurity and response pose risks in El Salvador

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EL SALVADOR

Insecurity poses a challenge for President Nayib Bukele, who has made considerable political capital from a downward trend in violence over his term in office. While the…

Temer will face vast political challenges in Brazil

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BRAZIL

The easy win of the pro-impeachment camp suggests Rousseff will be removed permanently after her judgment, which now senators must finish in no more than 180 days. However, this…

Prospects for Western Europe in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Western Europe in 2019.

Progress on EU-Swiss deal remains a distance away

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EU/SWITZERLAND

Political divisions in Switzerland have put the deal on hold. By threatening some of Switzerland's existing privileges, the Commission is seeking to increase the pressure for the…

Internal migrants in EU may face tougher benefit rules

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EU

The EU is built around the 'four freedoms', which together form the core of the internal market. Economically, freedom of movement is meant to smooth out asymmetrical labour…

Moderates look likely to win Catalan elections

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SPAIN

The moderate pro-independence Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC), which also provides occasional parliamentary support to Spain’s minority government, appears to win the most…

Risky Polish spending plans will boost PiS support

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POLAND

The PiS government's first four months.

South African government’s GBV plans may disappoint

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

Although President Cyril Ramaphosa has publicly committed to increase funding to combat what he calls South Africa’s “second pandemic”, there is a lack of transparency in how the…