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Prospects for Western Europe in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Western Europe in 2019.

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019.

Iraqi 2021 polls may help Sadrists but hurt austerity

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IRAQ

This follows the finalisation in October of a new electoral law introducing a higher degree of proportional representation (PR), and fraught parliamentary agreement on…

Russian opposition pauses to build energy for election

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RUSSIA

As Navalny shuttles between a prison cell and a courtroom, his team is having to adapt to life without its leader and to the challenge of converting generalised dissatisfaction…

Slovak government is weighing up early elections

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SLOVAKIA

SaS’s departure from government could trigger early elections and bring to power a new government with a less firmly pro-Western orientation that might substantially change…

Infighting could bring down Bosnian Serb government

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BOSNIA

Instability in Bosnia's Serb entity.

Venezuelan opposition splits will widen pre-election

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VENEZUELA

Opposition groups are disputing whether to participate in December’s National Assembly elections. The schism between abstentionist organisations and parties that want to take part…

EU views of China are slowly converging

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EU

There has been growing convergence between EU member states over the perceived China threat, especially related to economic matters. However, at the same time, EU countries are…

EU will avoid new Russia sanctions as long as it can

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EU/RUSSIA

EU responses to Russian actions around Ukraine.

Bosnian Serbs are moving closer to exiting BiH

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BOSNIA

Dodik’s law would transfer responsibility for elections in RS from the Central Electoral Commission to its RS equivalent, severing the RS political system from BiH and enabling…