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Czech government will be wary of more virus missteps

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CZECH REPUBLIC

Unlike the first wave, the government’s reaction to the second wave of COVID-19 was late and tainted by political calculations. Mixed signals from the political establishment and…

Bolivia’s Anez is unlikely to secure election

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BOLIVIA

The move came in response to pressure amid growing criticism of her handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, which she has been accused of using to install herself in office…

Political manoeuvring will be key for Ecuador’s Lasso

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ECUADOR

The conservative alliance that supported his election collapsed in mid-May, after his Creating Opportunities (CREO) failed to back the Social Christian Party (PSC) candidate for…

Ramaphosa’s government faces social relief dilemmas

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SOUTH AFRICA

The pandemic has sharpened questions about the role of South Africa's extensive social grants system in wider economic policy. In particular, emergency provisions have focused…

Costa Rica’s pandemic response faces political hurdles

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COSTA RICA

In August, it asked the IMF for a USD1.75bn credit under the Extended Fund Facility. This will come on top of the USD504mn approved by the IMF for emergency financial assistance…

Croatian elections will end spell of weak government

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CROATIA

The party succeeded in increasing its representation, provisionally winning 66 out of the 151 seats in parliament, despite its two terms in government. The result constitutes a…

Lithuanian conservative parties will win October vote

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LITHUANIA

Gitanas Nauseda won the second-round presidential election on May 26, 2019, by 67% to Ingrida Simonyte’s 33%. Both ran as independents; the opposition conservative Homeland…

Elections could destabilise central Andean states

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LATIN AMERICA

All are suffering from uncertainties posed by the impact of the COVID-19 crisis, but also by social divides and institutional weaknesses. These pose major uncertainties as to…

Ecuador’s security crisis will deepen

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ECUADOR

The army now has a central role in combating crime groups, 22 of which have been categorised as terrorist organisations. The move has been widely welcomed, but militarisation…

Gang alliance heightens political concerns in Haiti

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HAITI

With Moise becoming increasingly isolated from the political class, he is forging alliances with other sectors to maintain his support. This has led to allegations that he may be…