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Balloon launches risk raising Seoul-Pyongyang tensions

Location:

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA: Balloons risk tensions

Risk of armed clash with North Korea is low but real

Location:

NORTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA: Risk of armed clash is low but real

North Korea’s assertiveness will increase

Location:

NORTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA: Assertiveness will increase

Pyongyang will step up grey-zone tactics against Seoul

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA: Grey-zone warfare will grow

Seoul-Pyongyang military tensions will rise

Location:

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA: Military tensions will rise

Seoul-Pyongyang military activities will grow

Location:

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA: Military activities will grow

Rupture of accord will raise Seoul-Pyongyang tensions

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

An unrelated ballistic missile test shortly afterwards failed. Seoul responded by partially suspending September 2018’s North-South military agreement -- whereupon Pyongyang…

Inter-Korean border bloodshed will prompt retaliation

Location:

KOREAS

KOREAS: Border bloodshed will prompt retaliation

South China Sea code is distant despite ASEAN air code

Location:

ASEAN

ASEAN: South China Sea code distant despite air code

North Korea-South Korea border risks will increase

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA: Border risks will increase