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Pressure on officials will hinder policy in China

Location:

CHINA

Targets and performance management in China's civil service.

Impact investment is carrying firm momentum into 2021

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Government policies, demographic change and shifting businesses priorities are raising the profile of ESG issues and driving demand for investment. Furthermore, a growing number…

Guzman departure will raise crisis risks in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

Guzman’s abrupt resignation, after months of pressure from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK), nonetheless took the government by surprise. His resignation…

Pandemic will hit Costa Rica’s welfare systems

Location:

COSTA RICA

A strong healthcare system together with early implementation of social distancing measures and social assistance support has kept contagion levels low. The crisis is nevertheless…

Dinar ban will damage EU-led Kosovo-Serbia dialogue

Location:

KOSOVO

A Central Bank regulation reaffirming the euro as sole legal tender has alarmed Kosovo’s Serbs who see it as a direct threat to their existence and is jeopardising already complex…

Pandemic will increase El Salvador financing needs

Location:

EL SALVADOR

The second quarter will almost certainly be worse. COVID-19 containment measures have hit consumption and investment while a US slowdown in the first half of the year has weighed…

China’s ‘Two Meetings’ set out new policy goals

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CHINA

A new Hong Kong anti-sedition law and unprecedented omission of a GDP growth target overshadowed other important policy developments.

A full public debt restructuring overhaul is unlikely

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INTERNATIONAL

The stock of EM debt has multiplied since 2000, accompanied by legal difficulties for borrowers falling into distress. Some economists are calling for a complete overhaul of the…

Guatemala’s economy looks set to bounce back next year

Location:

GUATEMALA

The economic damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will be less severe than in other parts of Latin America. It is nevertheless weighing on activity, with structural weaknesses…

Mexico’s Pemex will retrench in a bid to survive

Location:

MEXICO

While such losses are enormous, they are far less than then 41.4-billion-dollar loss seen the previous year. Pemex has recorded 17 consecutive quarters of financial losses, with…