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Falling oil prices will offset rising US dollar

Location:

UNITED STATES

Two shocks are hitting the US economy at the same time: a sharp drop in the price of oil and a rise in the value of the dollar. The impact of the drop in oil is different from…

Brexit impact on UK trade will be clearer after COVID

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Brexit's direct impacts on goods trade are beginning to emerge. In sectors that rely on complex supply chains or are characterised by large capital investments, the full impacts…

US dollar strength will weigh on exports to Europe

Location:

UNITED STATES

The dollar has risen sharply in the past year; on May 1, 2014, the euro traded close to 1.39 dollars compared to 1.11 dollars today. The trade weighted dollar index is up 20% in…

EU-China economic ties will become more distant

Location:

EU/CHINA

The pandemic has exposed Europe’s dependence on China for medical equipment, the vulnerability of European firms to Chinese takeovers and China’s lack of transparency in general…

Australian PM challenge will hinder policy agenda

Location:

AUSTRALIA

Although a victory in the short term for Abbott, the narrow margin will only intensify doubts about his long-term prospects as party leader and as prime minister. The challenge…

EU economic security policy will strengthen

Location:

EU

The proposals contain some new risk management processes, plus additional focus on dual-use exports and consideration of outward investment. Its significance lies less in the…

Northern protests may further weaken Sudan’s junta

Location:

SUDAN

Lieutenant-General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan’s post-coup government has not followed through on promises to suspend the price increases, and the protests have escalated.

US-China tariffs worsen ASEAN middle-income trap fears

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic impact of the US-China tariffs.

Environment and technology dominate the WEF agenda

Location:

INT

For the first time in the eleven-year history of the survey, no economic risk makes the list of the top five most likely or biggest impact risks. In contrast, large-scale…

El Nino farming stress will have wide economic impacts

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

This irregular weather phenomenon appears ahead of the southern hemisphere spring growing season, disrupting harvests by creating untypically severe aridity or wetness. No two El…