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Prospects for emerging economies to end-2018

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PROSPECTS

Prospects for emerging economies to end-2018.

US shutdown effects will deepen

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UNITED STATES

For Trump, building “the wall” is an election pledge, but Democrats say it would be an “immorality” and ineffective. This disagreement triggered a partial government shutdown of…

Re-election will still be tough for Canada’s Liberals

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CANADA

Canada’s next federal election must be held by October. Opinion polling is putting the Conservatives ahead.

Gold price prospects depend on US rates and the dollar

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INTERNATIONAL

Gold price prospects.

External factors may trigger more Mexican rate hikes

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MEXICO

The hike was double the 25 bp expected by most economists and took place without any similar move from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), increasing the gap between the respective…

COVID-19 shocks point to recession in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA

The economic impact of COVID-19.

Growth pessimism is gaining ground in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA

In December 2014 ECLAC had anticipated expansion in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) of 2.2% for 2015. It is now forecasting growth of only 0.5%, down from 1.1% in 2014 and…

Both main US parties lost and won overnight

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UNITED STATES

The result was anticipated, not least as the incumbent US president’s party almost always loses congressional seats in midterm elections. Yet this makes the 2018 polls no less…

Prospects for Latin America in the third quarter

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PROSPECTS Q3 2015

Prospects for Latin America in the third quarter.

Long-term viability of Mexico's Pemex is uncertain

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MEXICO

The recent plunge in oil prices has set back the opening of the energy sector enacted by the government of President Enrique Pena Nieto, making investment in the industry less…