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Expert briefing

Publication date: 22 April 2024

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

Location:: RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286565

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Belarus

China

Turkey

Ukraine

United Arab Emirates

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

automobile

consumer

foreign policy

foreign trade

growth

manufacturing

prices

retail

sanctions

technology

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 18 April 2024

Parallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy

Location:: RUSSIA

Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286497

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Caucasus

Central Asia

China

Europe

Hong Kong

Japan

South Korea

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

United States

Maldives

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

automobile

banking

computers

consumer

defence

electronics

finance

fiscal

foreign trade

government

growth

manufacturing

military

mining

policy

prices

retail

sanctions

telecommunications

textiles

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

consumer

corporate

defence

employment

energy

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

invasion

investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

policy

prices

private sector

productivity

property

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 September 2023

Turkey will claim larger share of Balkan gas markets

Location:: BULGARIA/TURKEY/BALKANS

Turkish state-owned utility BOTAS has a supply contract with Bulgargaz which also includes access to the Bulgarian grid. It is in position to resell Russian gas to customers in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281972

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

EUR

Azerbaijan

Hungary

Romania

Serbia

Ukraine

Bulgaria

Balkans

Russia

BULGARIA/TURKEY/BALKANS

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

energy

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

talks

government

infrastructure

integration

regulation

industry

corporate

prices

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Executive summary

Publication date: 13 July 2023

Russia may aim for more from renewing grain deal

Location:: RUSSIA/INT

RUSSIA/INT: Moscow may want more from new grain deal

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES280478

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

International

RUCIS

Ukraine

Turkey

United Nations

RUSSIA/INT

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

food

foreign policy

foreign trade

talks

transport

agriculture

banking

chemical

government

prices

security

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 27 September 2023

Syrian Kurds face a possible loss of autonomy

Location:: SYRIA

After the outbreak of civil war in 2011 and the rise of Islamic State (IS), the US-backed SDF managed to establish an autonomous administration in northeast Syria. However, it…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282251

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Syria

ME/NAF

Russia

Turkey

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

aerospace

ethnic

foreign policy

military

prices

security

immigration

terrorism

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Executive summary

Publication date: 8 August 2023

Ukraine will squeeze Russia’s Black Sea trade

Location:: RUSSIA

RUSSIA: Ukraine will squeeze Black Sea trade

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281083

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

Ukraine

RUCIS

China

International

Iran

Kazakhstan

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

food

foreign trade

oil

shipping

war

government

military

prices

security

shipbuilding

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 24 July 2023

Russia will try to soften dismay at ending grain deal

Location:: RUSSIA

Ukraine had been a significant grain exporter, much of it to poor countries, accounting for about 10% of world trade. The invasion stopped that. In July 2022, Turkey and the UN…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280736

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

Ukraine

RUCIS

Africa

International

Poland

Turkey

United Nations

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

agriculture

food

foreign trade

sanctions

shipping

chemical

corporate

family

foreign policy

insurance

poverty

prices

summit

talks

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 31 July 2023

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

Location:: RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280900

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

India

International

Turkey

Ukraine

United Arab Emirates

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

fiscal

foreign trade

oil

prices

sanctions

foreign policy

invasion

legislation

shipping

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 14 July 2023

Syria’s sovereignty push will depend on Arab ties

Location:: SYRIA

The letter specified that aid must be coordinated with Damascus and also pushed for donors to fulfil their commitments and support refugee return -- a key issue for Arab…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280513

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Syria

ME/NAF

Middle East

Gulf states

Iran

Jordan

Russia

Turkey

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

aid

civil war

constitution

exchange rate

growth

military

prices

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security

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286565

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280513

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