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Spain will pursue a ‘progressive’ policy agenda

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SPAIN

The government’s headline policy promises are to be financed by higher taxes and EU funds, while observing the EU's excessive deficit limit. The government’s most contentious and…

Washington seeks dialogue to limit damage to ties

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Washington is attempting to limit a further deterioration in relations ahead of its November elections, while simultaneously stiffening tariffs on China amid an expanding…

Partnerships between AI firms and militaries will grow

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INT

However, recent trends and developments in the AI industry also point towards these same tools’ potential to serve valuable defence purposes, including threat detection, enhanced…

Ireland’s position towards Israel could harden further

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IRELAND

While stopping short of expelling the Israeli ambassador, Prime Minister Leo Varadkar has criticised Israel’s offensive in Gaza as being disproportionate and openly declared his…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Syria’s fraught Middle East return will hurt refugees

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SYRIA/MIDDLE EAST

SYRIA/MIDDLE EAST: Fraught ties will hurt refugees

Israel-Palestinian Hamas Gaza war has deep roots

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two…

Beijing-Washington ties will be competition-based

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Despite some positive short-term outcomes, the two sides’ read-outs reflect the structural nature of their competition and the limits that this places on cooperation.

Gaza ceasefire might avert looming Israel-Lebanon war

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LEBANON

Hezbollah has been trading limited attacks with the Israeli military since October. However, Israel is warning that, without a negotiated deal to remove Hezbollah forces from its…

Brazil foreign policy successes will prove elusive

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BRAZIL

The president travelled to 24 countries and promoted Brazil as a leader in the developing world, particularly on the climate change issue. However, his attempts to restore Latin…