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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2024

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 February 2024

Orban made the announcement during his annual State of the Nation address. For 18 months, Budapest has delayed ratifying Sweden’s NATO membership, over Stockholm's criticism of…

Executive summary
Publication date: 30 May 2024

UKRAINE: Kyiv will be allowed to strike Russia

Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 June 2024

These measures were part of a long-awaited new sanctions policy stemming from a comprehensive review of bilateral ties with Tbilisi announced by Washington in May. The shift in…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 May 2024

Operating restrictions on Western firms since 2022 have expanded into expropriation risks over the last year. This month Putin signed a decree to authorise the seizure of US…

Executive summary
Publication date: 8 April 2024

RUSSIA: Lavrov will seek more support from Beijing

Executive summary
Publication date: 15 May 2024

RUSSIA: Putin will seek to preserve Chinese support

Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024

After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

Executive summary
Publication date: 31 May 2024

TURKEY: Ankara may intervene against Kurds in Syria

Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 March 2024

Putin won 87% of the vote on 74% turnout, surpassing the 68% seen in 2018. Communist candidate Nikolai Kharitonov came second with just under 4%. Scattered opposition protests and…

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