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Beijing-ASEAN South China Sea tensions will grow

Location:

CHINA/ASEAN

While there is always potential for unplanned escalation, recent incidents in the area are unlikely to change the basic dynamics there: China’s increasing assertion of ‘on-water’…

Aspects of EU-Canada free trade deal are in jeopardy

Location:

FRANCE/EU/CANADA

FRANCE/EU/CANADA: CETA ratification hits obstacles

Trade shifting from multilateralism to smaller groups

Location:

INT

The WTO meeting may struggle to reach agreement on fishing and farming, let alone on dispute resolution or digital trade

Taiwan-China tensions will continue to rise

Location:

TAIWAN/CHINA

In an apparent expansion of its claims in the Taiwan Strait, China has responded by increasing patrols near Kinmen. The Chinese coast guard on February 19 boarded a Taiwanese…

The entwining of tariffs and US politics will continue

Location:

UNITED STATES

With trade policy, particularly towards China, likely to have an unusually high-profile role in this year’s presidential election, there is a growing awareness of the extent to…

Venezuela-Guyana tensions ease but dispute will go on

Location:

VENEZUELA/GUYANA

VENEZUELA/GUYANA: Tensions ease but dispute will go on

Israel-Palestinian Hamas Gaza war has deep roots

Location:

PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two…

Gaza ceasefire might avert looming Israel-Lebanon war

Location:

LEBANON

Hezbollah has been trading limited attacks with the Israeli military since October. However, Israel is warning that, without a negotiated deal to remove Hezbollah forces from its…

Papua New Guinea instability will increase

Location:

PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Marape's government is attempting to manage growing political fallout from widespread rioting in January, economic dislocation arising from fuel shortages and a spiralling…

Zambia edges towards a resolution of its debt crisis

Location:

ZAMBIA

The deal also appears to have satisfied official creditors, which had blocked an earlier deal on the basis that it granted bondholders more favourable terms than official…