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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 June 2024

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024

According to the constitution, the poll must take place in September-October. The JVP was formed as a Marxist-Leninist party. Recent opinion polling suggests Dissanayake would be…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 March 2024

Nicaraguan lawmakers approved a Chinese loan for a new airport last month, negotiations with Honduras over an FTA are progressing and the new government of Guatemala -- Taiwan’s…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 April 2024

The two parties associated with him are currently in the minority in the unicameral legislature. Muizzu came to power after winning last year’s presidential race. He was a…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 March 2024

As a result of dwindling tax revenue, he also said that state spending would be cut by EUR10bn (USD10.8bn). The government’s forecast for this year is more optimistic than…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 February 2024

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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