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Executive summary
Publication date: 3 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

FRANCE: Ratings downgrade is a blow to Macron

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287430

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
France
EUR
Topical
economy
politics
fiscal
government
debt
election
party
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 4 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

RUSSIA: Budget deficit will be larger than planned

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287454

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Russia
RUCIS
Ukraine
Topical
economy
international relations
politics
debt
energy
fiscal
foreign policy
gas
government
invasion
military
oil
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sanctions
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287151

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
construction
debt
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
pensions
prices
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economic situation is challenging: unemployment was 16.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, and work and business opportunities are limited. The government has avoided a debt…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287273

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Tunisia
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
politics
social
aid
debt
employment
fiscal
government
growth
natural resources
policy
prices
reform
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286935

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
France
EUR
Topical
economy
politics
fiscal
government
growth
policy
corporate
debt
election
opposition
party
welfare
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

After redeeming much of its USD2bn Eurobond in February, the government has effectively dispelled fears of a default. Nevertheless, it remains under pressure to consolidate public…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286934

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Kenya
AF
Topical
economy
international relations
politics
social
debt
fiscal
government
monetary
policy
prices
privatisation
reform

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Arabia","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22","url":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Saudi+Arabia%22"},{"count":"1","title":"Slovakia","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22","url":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Slovakia%22"}],"T":[{"count":"1","title":"Thailand","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22","url":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Thailand%22"},{"count":"2","title":"Tunisia","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22","url":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Tunisia%22"}],"U":[{"count":"2","title":"Ukraine","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22","url":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Ukraine%22"},{"count":"3","title":"United States","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22","url":"facet-sort-date=last-3-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22debt%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22United+States%22"}]}
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