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International LNG trade patterns will evolve further

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Europe's decisive move away from Russian pipeline gas since February 2022 has changed hugely the global LNG trade. Between 2019 and 2022, the global LNG market grew by 12%, with…

Politics will increase Iran’s economic instability

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IRAN

IRAN: Politics will increase economic instability

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

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VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Water scarcity will add costs for Middle East AI hubs

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MIDDLE EAST

In aggregate, Israel and leading Arab states plan to spend approximately USD100bn over the next few years to develop data centres to support the AI ecosystem. This will require…

Armenia and Azerbaijan will import more arms

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ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

France announced in November that it would deliver armoured vehicles to Armenia, prompting protests from Azerbaijan. The news threatens the tentative negotiations taking place…

Abu Dhabi's international expansion will increase

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ABU DHABI

The deal was the company’s fourth overseas gas deal as part of its international strategy to diversify its revenue streams from domestic oil production to equip it better to…

Gaza war will hike Israeli and Mideast gas risk

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MIDDLE EAST

The Israel-Hamas conflict that started on October 7 has had a direct impact on Israel’s gas supply. Following the Hamas attack, the Israeli government stopped production at the…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

Location:

BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…