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Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Taiwan’s defence spending will buy asymmetric weapons

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TAIWAN

TAIWAN: Defence spending will buy asymmetric weapons

Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

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IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

Sudan's civil war will grind on

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SUDAN

Thousands of combatants and civilians have been killed, over 8 million people (around one-fifth of the population) have been displaced and 18 million face severe acute food…

Turkey’s defence industry is set for growth

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TURKEY

A major milestone was showcased in February, as KAAN, the country’s first domestically produced fifth-generation combat aircraft, made its maiden flight. The aircraft is equipped…

Kurds will try to keep Iraq out of the Gaza conflict

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IRAQ

The Gaza conflict has led to a resurgence of attacks by Iran-backed armed groups on US forces, breaking the earlier unofficial truce. Some of those attacks have targeted bases in…

The Huthis will grow more emboldened within Yemen

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YEMEN

These shifts were already underway before the airstrikes began in November 2023. Notably, factions within the Islamist Islah political party have publicly and privately expressed…

Argentina political messaging may raise uncertainties

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ARGENTINA

ARGENTINA: Political messaging may raise uncertainties

Algerian president’s win reinforces the status quo

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ALGERIA

His victory, which was widely expected within Algeria and abroad, represents the final defeat of the Hirak protest movement's call for structural change. Tebboune's first term was…

Myanmar junta will lose further ground in near term

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MYANMAR

The resistance to the junta, including People’s Defence Forces aligned with the anti-junta National Unity Government (NUG) as well as ethnic armed organisations long pitted…