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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 September 2024
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The Biden administration has repeatedly said that any attack on Philippine ships or aircraft would bring the US-Philippine Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT) into play.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 July 2024
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This comes amid heightened scrutiny of Rwandan support to the M23 rebellion in eastern DRC and plays on long-standing claims that the illegal minerals trade is a major driver of…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 14 May 2024
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GREECE/TURKEY: Detente picks up but issues remain
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024
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This comes shortly after Ethiopia and Somaliland in January signed a deal offering Ethiopia a naval base in Somaliland in exchange for Ethiopia’s recognition of Somaliland as a…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 11 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

YEMEN: Huthis signal intent to escalate in Red Sea
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Official figures suggest that 10 million people participated in a referendum held on December 3 in which over 90% of those who voted (accounting for nearly half of the electorate…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 3 January 2024
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ETHIOPIA: Somaliland port plan raises regional tension
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Norwegian armed forces’ chief of operations Lieutenant-General Yngve Odlo hosted Lieutenant-General Stanislav Maslov, head of the Western Arctic Border Directorate of the Russian…

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